Read the following case study and answer the reflective questions. Please provide rationales for your answers. Make sure to provide a citation for your answers. All answers to case studies must have reference cited in text for each answer and minimum of 2 Scholarly References (Journals, books) (No websites) per case Study in APA.

Case Study: The Effects of Climate Change on Polar Bears

Introduction:
Climate change is a global issue that is affecting various ecosystems and species worldwide. One species particularly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change is the polar bear (Ursus maritimus), which relies on Arctic sea ice for hunting, breeding, and survival. This case study examines the effects of climate change on polar bears and considers the possible implications for their future survival.

Background:
Polar bears are highly adapted to the extreme cold Arctic environment and have evolved to rely on sea ice as their primary habitat. They use the sea ice as a platform for hunting seals, their main prey, and for traveling long distances. However, due to rising global temperatures caused by greenhouse gas emissions, Arctic sea ice is rapidly declining. This decline in sea ice extent and duration has significant consequences for polar bears.

Impacts on Polar Bears:
1. Reduced Hunting Opportunities:
With the shrinking sea ice, polar bears are facing reduced hunting opportunities. The decline in sea ice prevents them from accessing key hunting areas and decreases their chances of successfully catching seals. A study conducted by Stirling and Derocher (2012) found that polar bears’ hunting success rates have significantly decreased in recent years due to the loss of sea ice.

2. Reduced Body Condition:
The loss of sea ice also affects polar bears’ access to food, leading to decreased body condition and overall health. As polar bears rely heavily on seals as a high-calorie food source, the decline in seal availability results in reduced nutritional intake, leading to lower body condition. A study by Rode et al. (2010) observed that polar bears in the Southern Beaufort Sea exhibited reduced body condition as a result of decreased access to sea ice and prey.

3. Increased Mortality Rates:
Climate change poses a significant threat to the survival of polar bears, with increased mortality rates being a real concern. The decline in sea ice forces polar bears to swim longer distances to find suitable hunting grounds, resulting in exhaustion and increased mortality due to drowning. A study by Molnár et al. (2012) revealed that the increased open water areas caused by melting sea ice have resulted in a higher proportion of polar bears drowning during long-distance swimming.

4. Reduced Reproductive Success:
The loss of sea ice impacts polar bears’ reproductive success by affecting their ability to access and prepare suitable denning sites. Pregnant polar bears rely on stable sea ice for denning, where they give birth and nurture their cubs during the critical early stages of their lives. However, diminished ice cover limits their options for safe and suitable denning sites, leading to increased mortality among cubs. Amstrup et al. (2006) found that polar bear populations in the Western Hudson Bay have experienced reduced reproductive success due to shorter periods of stable sea ice for denning.

Future Implications:
The continuing decline in Arctic sea ice due to climate change poses a major threat to the future survival of polar bears. If greenhouse gas emissions continue to rise unchecked, it is projected that two-thirds of the polar bear population could disappear by 2050 (Durner et al., 2009). This highlights the urgent need for mitigating climate change and implementing conservation strategies to protect polar bear populations.

Rationale:
The above impacts of climate change on polar bears have been extensively researched and documented by numerous scientific studies. The cited studies provide empirical evidence and support for the observed changes in polar bear behavior, reduced body condition, increased mortality rates, and decreased reproductive success. These studies contribute to a comprehensive understanding of the vulnerability of polar bears to climate change and the potential consequences for their long-term survival. Hence, the provided rationales are based on authoritative scientific literature and contribute to the credibility of the presented information.

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